Gridiron Core

Visitors 377 total, 227 passing, 149 rushing. Home 393 total, 245 passing, 148 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB38RUTGSTRONGPSU+2563PSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackPSU edge
  • Dropback successPSU edge
  • Completion over expectedPSU edge
  • Turnover avoidancePSU edge
  • Sack avoidancePSU edge
Rush53RUTGEVEN+255PSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successRUTG edge
  • Stuff avoidancePSU edge
  • Explosive runsRUTG edge
  • Short yardagePSU edge
Pass41RUTGSTRONGPSU+2162PSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAPSU edge
  • Pass successPSU edge
  • Explosive passesPSU edge
  • ProtectionPSU edge
  • Completion over expectedPSU edge
Trenches45RUTGSLIGHTPSU+955PSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlPSU edge
  • Pass protectionPSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingPSU edge
  • Stuff creationPSU edge
  • Pressure creationPSU edge
  • Short-yardage defensePSU edge
Explosive51RUTGEVEN+150PSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesPSU edge
  • Explosive runsRUTG edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience50RUTGSLIGHTPSU+555PSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responsePSU edge
  • Defensive responsePSU edge
  • Momentum reversalPSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksRUTG edge
  • Mistake avoidanceRUTG edge
RUTGOFFENSEvsPSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATERUTG RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS68%SEASONPSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS62%SEASONRUTG SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)13%SEASONPSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)RUTGRED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS4EMPTY6+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | RUTG KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)PSUOFFENSEvsRUTGDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS58%SEASONRUTG RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)37TRIPS68%SEASONPSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONRUTG FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3983%40 - 4960%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (RUTG 8, PSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.