Gridiron Core

Visitors 335 total, 188 passing, 147 rushing. Home 476 total, 288 passing, 187 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB44MASSSLIGHTTOL+852TOLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTOL edge
  • Dropback successTOL edge
  • Completion over expectedTOL edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceTOL edge
Rush39MASSCLEARTOL+1554TOLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATOL edge
  • Rush successTOL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTOL edge
  • Explosive runsTOL edge
  • Short yardageTOL edge
Pass43MASSSLIGHTTOL+951TOLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATOL edge
  • Pass successTOL edge
  • Explosive passesTOL edge
  • ProtectionTOL edge
  • Completion over expectedTOL edge
Trenches45MASSCLEARTOL+1055TOLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTOL edge
  • Pass protectionTOL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTOL edge
  • Stuff creationTOL edge
  • Pressure creationTOL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTOL edge
Explosive44MASSCLEARTOL+1155TOLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTOL edge
  • Explosive passesTOL edge
  • Explosive runsTOL edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTOL edge
  • Explosive preventionTOL edge
Resilience47MASSSLIGHTTOL+956TOLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTOL edge
  • Defensive responseMASS edge
  • Momentum reversalTOL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
MASSOFFENSEvsTOLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMASS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS57%SEASONTOL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS56%SEASONMASS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONTOL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)36%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MASSRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS7EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MASS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TOLOFFENSEvsMASSDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETOL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS74%SEASONMASS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS57%SEASONTOL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONMASS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)39%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TOLRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TOL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4940%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MASS 8, TOL 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.