Gridiron Core

Visitors 408 total, 249 passing, 159 rushing. Home 345 total, 237 passing, 108 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB60NCSUEVEN+060UNCLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Dropback successUNC edge
  • Completion over expectedUNC edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNCSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceNCSU edge
Rush56NCSUEVEN+551UNCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush successNCSU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNCSU edge
  • Explosive runsUNC edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass56NCSUEVEN+158UNCLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass successUNC edge
  • Explosive passesUNC edge
  • ProtectionNCSU edge
  • Completion over expectedUNC edge
Trenches55NCSUCLEARNCSU+1045UNCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNCSU edge
  • Pass protectionNCSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationNCSU edge
  • Pressure creationNCSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive41NCSUCLEARUNC+1657UNCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUNC edge
  • Explosive passesUNC edge
  • Explosive runsUNC edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUNC edge
  • Explosive preventionUNC edge
Resilience48NCSUEVEN+148UNCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNCSU edge
  • Defensive responseUNC edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUNC edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNCSU edge
NCSUOFFENSEvsUNCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENCSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS68%SEASONUNC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS54%SEASONNCSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONUNC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)32%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NCSURED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NCSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UNCOFFENSEvsNCSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUNC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS71%SEASONNCSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS75%SEASONUNC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONNCSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)13%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UNCRED ZONETRIPS / G3.5TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS7EMPTY1+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UNC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NCSU 8, UNC 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.