Gridiron Core

Visitors 353 total, 197 passing, 157 rushing. Home 361 total, 234 passing, 127 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB46NMSUEVEN+046MOSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successNMSU edge
  • Completion over expectedMOST edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMOST edge
  • Sack avoidanceNMSU edge
Rush56NMSUSLIGHTNMSU+649MOSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANMSU edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceNMSU edge
  • Explosive runsMOST edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass47NMSUEVEN+146MOSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successNMSU edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionNMSU edge
  • Completion over expectedMOST edge
Trenches57NMSUCLEARNMSU+1543MOSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNMSU edge
  • Pass protectionNMSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationNMSU edge
  • Pressure creationNMSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive48NMSUEVEN+451MOSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMOST edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsMOST edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMOST edge
  • Explosive preventionMOST edge
Resilience45NMSUEVEN+247MOSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMOST edge
  • Defensive responseNMSU edge
  • Momentum reversalMOST edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksNMSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNMSU edge
NMSUOFFENSEvsMOSTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENMSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS55%SEASONMOST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)39TRIPS59%SEASONNMSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)41%SEASONMOST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NMSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NMSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 3950%40 - 490%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MOSTOFFENSEvsNMSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMOST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS55%SEASONNMSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)35TRIPS60%SEASONMOST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)34%SEASONNMSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MOSTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS9EMPTY4+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MOST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2986%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NMSU 8, MOST 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.