Gridiron Core

Visitors 446 total, 278 passing, 168 rushing. Home 492 total, 267 passing, 225 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB48PITTSLIGHTLOU+755LOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackLOU edge
  • Dropback successLOU edge
  • Completion over expectedLOU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceLOU edge
  • Sack avoidancePITT edge
Rush49PITTEVEN+248LOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPALOU edge
  • Rush successPITT edge
  • Stuff avoidancePITT edge
  • Explosive runsLOU edge
  • Short yardageLOU edge
Pass48PITTSLIGHTLOU+855LOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPALOU edge
  • Pass successLOU edge
  • Explosive passesLOU edge
  • ProtectionPITT edge
  • Completion over expectedLOU edge
Trenches58PITTCLEARPITT+1642LOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlPITT edge
  • Pass protectionPITT edge
  • Short-yardage blockingLOU edge
  • Stuff creationPITT edge
  • Pressure creationPITT edge
  • Short-yardage defenseLOU edge
Explosive39PITTSTRONGLOU+2463LOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateLOU edge
  • Explosive passesLOU edge
  • Explosive runsLOU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeLOU edge
  • Explosive preventionLOU edge
Resilience49PITTSLIGHTLOU+655LOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseLOU edge
  • Defensive responsePITT edge
  • Momentum reversalLOU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksLOU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceLOU edge
PITTOFFENSEvsLOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPITT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS56%SEASONLOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS47%SEASONPITT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)26%SEASONLOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PITTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS9EMPTY6+16 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PITT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)LOUOFFENSEvsPITTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONPITT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS59%SEASONLOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONPITT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS4EMPTY5+21 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (PITT 9, LOU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.