Gridiron Core

Visitors 324 total, 196 passing, 128 rushing. Home 440 total, 282 passing, 158 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB44WOFSLIGHTMISS+1054MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMISS edge
  • Dropback successMISS edge
  • Completion over expectedWOF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMISS edge
  • Sack avoidanceMISS edge
Rush47WOFEVEN+451MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAMISS edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceMISS edge
  • Explosive runsMISS edge
  • Short yardageMISS edge
Pass46WOFSLIGHTMISS+955MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMISS edge
  • Pass successMISS edge
  • Explosive passesWOF edge
  • ProtectionMISS edge
  • Completion over expectedWOF edge
Trenches42WOFCLEARMISS+1558MISSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMISS edge
  • Pass protectionMISS edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMISS edge
  • Stuff creationMISS edge
  • Pressure creationMISS edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMISS edge
Explosive51WOFEVEN+249MISSHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesWOF edge
  • Explosive runsMISS edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWOF edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience49WOFEVEN+251MISSHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMISS edge
  • Defensive responseWOF edge
  • Momentum reversalMISS edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMISS edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMISS edge
WOFOFFENSEvsMISSDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWOF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS54%SEASONMISS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)33TRIPS45%SEASONWOF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)35%SEASONMISS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WOFRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS9EMPTY3+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WOF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4940%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MISSOFFENSEvsWOFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMISS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS84%SEASONWOF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONMISS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)13%SEASONWOF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)15%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MISSRED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS3EMPTY2+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MISS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4986%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (WOF 9, MISS 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.