Gridiron Core

Visitors 370 total, 193 passing, 177 rushing. Home 435 total, 284 passing, 151 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB39ISUCLEARBAY+1756BAYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackBAY edge
  • Dropback successBAY edge
  • Completion over expectedBAY edge
  • Turnover avoidanceBAY edge
  • Sack avoidanceBAY edge
Rush40ISUCLEARBAY+1252BAYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABAY edge
  • Rush successBAY edge
  • Stuff avoidanceBAY edge
  • Explosive runsISU edge
  • Short yardageBAY edge
Pass38ISUCLEARBAY+1756BAYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPABAY edge
  • Pass successBAY edge
  • Explosive passesBAY edge
  • ProtectionBAY edge
  • Completion over expectedBAY edge
Trenches40ISUSTRONGBAY+2160BAYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlBAY edge
  • Pass protectionBAY edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBAY edge
  • Stuff creationBAY edge
  • Pressure creationBAY edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBAY edge
Explosive49ISUEVEN+050BAYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesBAY edge
  • Explosive runsISU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBAY edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience51ISUEVEN+354BAYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseBAY edge
  • Defensive responseBAY edge
  • Momentum reversalBAY edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBAY edge
  • Mistake avoidanceISU edge
ISUOFFENSEvsBAYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEISU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONBAY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS33%SEASONISU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)35%SEASONBAY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)42%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ISURED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS9EMPTY2+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ISU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)BAYOFFENSEvsISUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBAY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS53%SEASONISU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS74%SEASONBAY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONISU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BAYRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS17FIELD GOALS8EMPTY7+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BAY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4950%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ISU 8, BAY 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.