Gridiron Core

Visitors 399 total, 59 passing, 341 rushing. Home 414 total, 71 passing, 343 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB55AFSLIGHTAF+847ARMYLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackAF edge
  • Dropback successAF edge
  • Completion over expectedAF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceAF edge
  • Sack avoidanceAF edge
Rush69AFSLIGHTAF+663ARMYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAAF edge
  • Rush successAF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceAF edge
  • Explosive runsARMY edge
  • Short yardageAF edge
Pass57AFSLIGHTAF+1047ARMYLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAAF edge
  • Pass successAF edge
  • Explosive passesAF edge
  • ProtectionAF edge
  • Completion over expectedAF edge
Trenches55AFSLIGHTAF+1045ARMYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlAF edge
  • Pass protectionAF edge
  • Short-yardage blockingAF edge
  • Stuff creationAF edge
  • Pressure creationAF edge
  • Short-yardage defenseAF edge
Explosive52AFEVEN+349ARMYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateAF edge
  • Explosive passesAF edge
  • Explosive runsARMY edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeARMY edge
  • Explosive preventionAF edge
Resilience50AFEVEN+149ARMYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseARMY edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksAF edge
  • Mistake avoidanceAF edge
AFOFFENSEvsARMYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEAF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS67%SEASONARMY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS68%SEASONAF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONARMY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)AFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | AF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ARMYOFFENSEvsAFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARMY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS72%SEASONAF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS61%SEASONARMY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)14%SEASONAF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)22%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARMYRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS4EMPTY4+14 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARMY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (AF 8, ARMY 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.