Gridiron Core

Visitors 383 total, 208 passing, 175 rushing. Home 361 total, 148 passing, 213 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB40UNLVEVEN+337UNMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUNLV edge
  • Dropback successUNLV edge
  • Completion over expectedUNLV edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUNM edge
  • Sack avoidanceUNLV edge
Rush35UNLVDOMINANTUNM+2762UNMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUNM edge
  • Rush successUNM edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUNM edge
  • Explosive runsUNM edge
  • Short yardageUNM edge
Pass44UNLVEVEN+341UNMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUNLV edge
  • Pass successUNLV edge
  • Explosive passesUNM edge
  • ProtectionUNLV edge
  • Completion over expectedUNLV edge
Trenches42UNLVCLEARUNM+1558UNMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUNM edge
  • Pass protectionUNLV edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUNM edge
  • Stuff creationUNM edge
  • Pressure creationUNLV edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUNM edge
Explosive42UNLVCLEARUNM+1860UNMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUNM edge
  • Explosive passesUNM edge
  • Explosive runsUNM edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUNM edge
  • Explosive preventionUNM edge
Resilience46UNLVEVEN+147UNMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUNLV edge
  • Defensive responseUNM edge
  • Momentum reversalUNM edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUNLV edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUNM edge
UNLVOFFENSEvsUNMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUNLV RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS52%SEASONUNM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)14TRIPS36%SEASONUNLV SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)24%SEASONUNM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)57%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UNLVRED ZONETRIPS / G3.1TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS5EMPTY7+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UNLV KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 490%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UNMOFFENSEvsUNLVDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUNM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS74%SEASONUNLV RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS46%SEASONUNM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)16%SEASONUNLV FORCED FG(DEFENSE)36%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UNMRED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS3EMPTY5+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UNM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 39—40 - 4980%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UNLV 8, UNM 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.