Gridiron Core

Visitors 402 total, 283 passing, 119 rushing. Home 438 total, 239 passing, 200 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56GASOSLIGHTGASO+650GASTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successGASO edge
  • Completion over expectedGASO edge
  • Turnover avoidanceGASO edge
  • Sack avoidanceGASO edge
Rush49GASOEVEN+347GASTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAGASO edge
  • Rush successGASO edge
  • Stuff avoidanceGASO edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageGASO edge
Pass55GASOEVEN+550GASTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successGASO edge
  • Explosive passesGASO edge
  • ProtectionGASO edge
  • Completion over expectedGASO edge
Trenches53GASOSLIGHTGASO+747GASTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlGASO edge
  • Pass protectionGASO edge
  • Short-yardage blockingGASO edge
  • Stuff creationGASO edge
  • Pressure creationGASO edge
  • Short-yardage defenseGASO edge
Explosive52GASOEVEN+250GASTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateGASO edge
  • Explosive passesGASO edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeGASO edge
  • Explosive preventionGASO edge
Resilience51GASOEVEN+150GASTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseGASO edge
  • Defensive responseGAST edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksGAST edge
  • Mistake avoidanceGASO edge
GASOOFFENSEvsGASTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEGASO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS52%SEASONGAST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONGASO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONGAST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)GASORED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS9EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | GASO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3971%40 - 4980%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)GASTOFFENSEvsGASODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEGAST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS59%SEASONGASO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS48%SEASONGAST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONGASO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)GASTRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS8EMPTY6+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | GAST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3983%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (GASO 8, GAST 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.