Gridiron Core

Visitors 476 total, 288 passing, 187 rushing. Home 368 total, 179 passing, 189 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB54TOLSLIGHTTOL+846OHIOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successTOL edge
  • Completion over expectedTOL edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTOL edge
  • Sack avoidanceTOL edge
Rush49TOLEVEN+446OHIOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATOL edge
  • Rush successTOL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTOL edge
  • Explosive runsOHIO edge
  • Short yardageOHIO edge
Pass54TOLSLIGHTTOL+746OHIOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successTOL edge
  • Explosive passesTOL edge
  • ProtectionTOL edge
  • Completion over expectedTOL edge
Trenches53TOLSLIGHTTOL+747OHIOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTOL edge
  • Pass protectionTOL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingOHIO edge
  • Stuff creationTOL edge
  • Pressure creationTOL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseOHIO edge
Explosive50TOLEVEN+150OHIOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesTOL edge
  • Explosive runsOHIO edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeOHIO edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience56TOLEVEN+254OHIOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTOL edge
  • Defensive responseOHIO edge
  • Momentum reversalTOL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTOL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceOHIO edge
TOLOFFENSEvsOHIODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETOL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS74%SEASONOHIO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONTOL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONOHIO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TOLRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TOL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4940%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)OHIOOFFENSEvsTOLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEOHIO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS77%SEASONTOL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS56%SEASONOHIO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)12%SEASONTOL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)36%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)OHIORED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS3EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | OHIO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TOL 8, OHIO 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.