Gridiron Core

Visitors 327 total, 162 passing, 165 rushing. Home 355 total, 217 passing, 137 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB50WMUSLIGHTWMU+842AKRMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackWMU edge
  • Dropback successWMU edge
  • Completion over expectedAKR edge
  • Turnover avoidanceWMU edge
  • Sack avoidanceWMU edge
Rush55WMUEVEN+055AKRHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAWMU edge
  • Rush successAKR edge
  • Stuff avoidanceAKR edge
  • Explosive runsAKR edge
  • Short yardageWMU edge
Pass51WMUSLIGHTWMU+843AKRMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAWMU edge
  • Pass successWMU edge
  • Explosive passesWMU edge
  • ProtectionWMU edge
  • Completion over expectedAKR edge
Trenches55WMUSLIGHTWMU+1045AKRMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlAKR edge
  • Pass protectionWMU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingWMU edge
  • Stuff creationAKR edge
  • Pressure creationWMU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseWMU edge
Explosive51WMUEVEN+149AKRHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesWMU edge
  • Explosive runsAKR edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWMU edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience54WMUCLEARWMU+1341AKRHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseWMU edge
  • Momentum reversalWMU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksWMU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceWMU edge
WMUOFFENSEvsAKRDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWMU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS69%SEASONAKR RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS53%SEASONWMU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONAKR FORCED FG(DEFENSE)40%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WMURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS7EMPTY3+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WMU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)AKROFFENSEvsWMUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEAKR RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS57%SEASONWMU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS61%SEASONAKR SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONWMU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)AKRRED ZONETRIPS / G3.1TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS6EMPTY6+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | AKR KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4945%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (WMU 9, AKR 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.