Gridiron Core

Visitors 438 total, 239 passing, 200 rushing. Home 390 total, 263 passing, 126 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB55GASTEVEN+451APPMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackGAST edge
  • Dropback successGAST edge
  • Completion over expectedAPP edge
  • Turnover avoidanceAPP edge
  • Sack avoidanceGAST edge
Rush50GASTEVEN+347APPMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAGAST edge
  • Rush successGAST edge
  • Stuff avoidanceGAST edge
  • Explosive runsAPP edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass56GASTEVEN+452APPMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAGAST edge
  • Pass successGAST edge
  • Explosive passesAPP edge
  • ProtectionGAST edge
  • Completion over expectedAPP edge
Trenches57GASTCLEARGAST+1343APPMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlGAST edge
  • Pass protectionGAST edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationGAST edge
  • Pressure creationGAST edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive45GASTCLEARAPP+1358APPHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateAPP edge
  • Explosive passesAPP edge
  • Explosive runsAPP edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeAPP edge
  • Explosive preventionAPP edge
Resilience50GASTEVEN+151APPHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalGAST edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceAPP edge
GASTOFFENSEvsAPPDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEGAST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS59%SEASONAPP RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONGAST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONAPP FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)GASTRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS8EMPTY6+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | GAST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3983%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)APPOFFENSEvsGASTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEAPP RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS63%SEASONGAST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONAPP SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONGAST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)APPRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS7EMPTY6+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | APP KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3986%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (GAST 8, APP 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.