Gridiron Core

Visitors 339 total, 195 passing, 144 rushing. Home 368 total, 179 passing, 189 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB48BALLCLEAROHIO+1159OHIOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackOHIO edge
  • Dropback successOHIO edge
  • Completion over expectedOHIO edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceBALL edge
Rush49BALLEVEN+554OHIOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAOHIO edge
  • Rush successOHIO edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsOHIO edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass46BALLCLEAROHIO+1359OHIOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAOHIO edge
  • Pass successOHIO edge
  • Explosive passesOHIO edge
  • ProtectionBALL edge
  • Completion over expectedOHIO edge
Trenches50BALLEVEN+150OHIOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionBALL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationBALL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive41BALLSTRONGOHIO+1960OHIOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateOHIO edge
  • Explosive passesOHIO edge
  • Explosive runsOHIO edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeOHIO edge
  • Explosive preventionOHIO edge
Resilience44BALLCLEAROHIO+1054OHIOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseOHIO edge
  • Defensive responseOHIO edge
  • Momentum reversalOHIO edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBALL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceOHIO edge
BALLOFFENSEvsOHIODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBALL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS68%SEASONOHIO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONBALL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONOHIO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BALLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS2EMPTY5+12 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BALL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 3980%40 - 49—50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)OHIOOFFENSEvsBALLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEOHIO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS77%SEASONBALL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS79%SEASONOHIO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)12%SEASONBALL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)15%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)OHIORED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS3EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | OHIO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BALL 9, OHIO 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.