Gridiron Core

Visitors 426 total, 219 passing, 207 rushing. Home 435 total, 284 passing, 151 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB42TTUSLIGHTBAY+648BAYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackBAY edge
  • Dropback successBAY edge
  • Completion over expectedBAY edge
  • Turnover avoidanceBAY edge
  • Sack avoidanceBAY edge
Rush46TTUSLIGHTTTU+541BAYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATTU edge
  • Rush successTTU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceBAY edge
  • Explosive runsTTU edge
  • Short yardageBAY edge
Pass40TTUSLIGHTBAY+848BAYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPABAY edge
  • Pass successBAY edge
  • Explosive passesBAY edge
  • ProtectionBAY edge
  • Completion over expectedBAY edge
Trenches46TTUSLIGHTBAY+754BAYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlBAY edge
  • Pass protectionBAY edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBAY edge
  • Stuff creationBAY edge
  • Pressure creationBAY edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBAY edge
Explosive49TTUEVEN+049BAYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesBAY edge
  • Explosive runsTTU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBAY edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience54TTUEVEN+054BAYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTTU edge
  • Defensive responseBAY edge
  • Momentum reversalBAY edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBAY edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
TTUOFFENSEvsBAYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETTU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS50%SEASONBAY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS33%SEASONTTU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)38%SEASONBAY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)42%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TTURED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS10EMPTY6+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TTU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)BAYOFFENSEvsTTUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBAY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS53%SEASONTTU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS57%SEASONBAY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONTTU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BAYRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS17FIELD GOALS8EMPTY7+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BAY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4950%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TTU 8, BAY 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.