Gridiron Core

Visitors 440 total, 330 passing, 110 rushing. Home 370 total, 212 passing, 158 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB59FAUEVEN+058TLSAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTLSA edge
  • Dropback successFAU edge
  • Completion over expectedFAU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTLSA edge
  • Sack avoidanceTLSA edge
Rush50FAUSLIGHTTLSA+959TLSAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATLSA edge
  • Rush successTLSA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTLSA edge
  • Explosive runsTLSA edge
  • Short yardageFAU edge
Pass58FAUEVEN+158TLSAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATLSA edge
  • Pass successFAU edge
  • Explosive passesTLSA edge
  • ProtectionTLSA edge
  • Completion over expectedFAU edge
Trenches47FAUSLIGHTTLSA+653TLSAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTLSA edge
  • Pass protectionTLSA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingFAU edge
  • Stuff creationTLSA edge
  • Pressure creationTLSA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseFAU edge
Explosive45FAUCLEARTLSA+1056TLSAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTLSA edge
  • Explosive passesTLSA edge
  • Explosive runsTLSA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTLSA edge
  • Explosive preventionTLSA edge
Resilience49FAUEVEN+247TLSAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseFAU edge
  • Defensive responseTLSA edge
  • Momentum reversalFAU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTLSA edge
  • Mistake avoidanceTLSA edge
FAUOFFENSEvsTLSADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEFAU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONTLSA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS47%SEASONFAU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONTLSA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)FAURED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+14 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | FAU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+25%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TLSAOFFENSEvsFAUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETLSA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS72%SEASONFAU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS77%SEASONTLSA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONFAU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)10%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TLSARED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS3EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TLSA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (FAU 8, TLSA 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.