Gridiron Core

Visitors 396 total, 256 passing, 140 rushing. Home 455 total, 226 passing, 229 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB58COLOSLIGHTCOLO+553CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCOLO edge
  • Dropback successCOLO edge
  • Completion over expectedCOLO edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceCOLO edge
Rush46COLOSLIGHTCIN+652CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPACIN edge
  • Rush successCIN edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsCIN edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass59COLOSLIGHTCOLO+653CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACOLO edge
  • Pass successCOLO edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionCOLO edge
  • Completion over expectedCOLO edge
Trenches52COLOEVEN+448CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionCOLO edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationCOLO edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive50COLOSLIGHTCIN+655CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateCIN edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsCIN edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeCIN edge
  • Explosive preventionCIN edge
Resilience42COLOCLEARCIN+1254CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCIN edge
  • Defensive responseCIN edge
  • Momentum reversalCIN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceCIN edge
COLOOFFENSEvsCINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECOLO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS55%SEASONCIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS56%SEASONCOLO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)27%SEASONCIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)COLORED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS4EMPTY6+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | COLO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 3950%40 - 4967%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CINOFFENSEvsCOLODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS79%SEASONCOLO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)40TRIPS43%SEASONCIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)3%SEASONCOLO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CINRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS0EMPTY7+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 3950%40 - 49100%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (COLO 8, CIN 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.