Gridiron Core

Visitors 402 total, 283 passing, 119 rushing. Home 371 total, 177 passing, 194 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB53GASOCLEARGASO+1241TROYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackGASO edge
  • Dropback successGASO edge
  • Completion over expectedGASO edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTROY edge
  • Sack avoidanceGASO edge
Rush49GASOEVEN+445TROYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAGASO edge
  • Rush successGASO edge
  • Stuff avoidanceGASO edge
  • Explosive runsTROY edge
  • Short yardageGASO edge
Pass53GASOCLEARGASO+1339TROYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAGASO edge
  • Pass successGASO edge
  • Explosive passesGASO edge
  • ProtectionGASO edge
  • Completion over expectedGASO edge
Trenches58GASOCLEARGASO+1642TROYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlGASO edge
  • Pass protectionGASO edge
  • Short-yardage blockingGASO edge
  • Stuff creationGASO edge
  • Pressure creationGASO edge
  • Short-yardage defenseGASO edge
Explosive48GASOEVEN+048TROYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesGASO edge
  • Explosive runsTROY edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience51GASOEVEN+349TROYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseGASO edge
  • Defensive responseTROY edge
  • Momentum reversalGASO edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTROY edge
  • Mistake avoidanceTROY edge
GASOOFFENSEvsTROYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEGASO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS52%SEASONTROY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONGASO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONTROY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)19%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)GASORED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS9EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | GASO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3971%40 - 4980%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TROYOFFENSEvsGASODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETROY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS64%SEASONGASO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS48%SEASONTROY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)36%SEASONGASO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TROYRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TROY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (GASO 8, TROY 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.