Gridiron Core

Visitors 291 total, 181 passing, 110 rushing. Home 377 total, 227 passing, 149 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB58MSUCLEARMSU+1146RUTGLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Dropback successMSU edge
  • Completion over expectedMSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceRUTG edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush51MSUEVEN+354RUTGMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush successRUTG edge
  • Stuff avoidanceRUTG edge
  • Explosive runsMSU edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass57MSUSLIGHTMSU+749RUTGLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass successMSU edge
  • Explosive passesRUTG edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedMSU edge
Trenches49MSUEVEN+251RUTGMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlRUTG edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationRUTG edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive49MSUEVEN+452RUTGHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateRUTG edge
  • Explosive passesRUTG edge
  • Explosive runsMSU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeRUTG edge
  • Explosive preventionRUTG edge
Resilience48MSUEVEN+150RUTGHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseRUTG edge
  • Defensive responseMSU edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
MSUOFFENSEvsRUTGDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)24TRIPS58%SEASONRUTG RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)37TRIPS68%SEASONMSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONRUTG FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 3980%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)RUTGOFFENSEvsMSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATERUTG RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS68%SEASONMSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS61%SEASONRUTG SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)13%SEASONMSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)RUTGRED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS4EMPTY6+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | RUTG KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MSU 8, RUTG 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.