Gridiron Core

Visitors 355 total, 187 passing, 168 rushing. Home 443 total, 257 passing, 186 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB43BCCLEARND+1759NDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackND edge
  • Dropback successND edge
  • Completion over expectedND edge
  • Turnover avoidanceND edge
  • Sack avoidanceND edge
Rush47BCSLIGHTND+855NDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAND edge
  • Rush successND edge
  • Stuff avoidanceND edge
  • Explosive runsBC edge
  • Short yardageND edge
Pass43BCCLEARND+1457NDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAND edge
  • Pass successND edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionND edge
  • Completion over expectedND edge
Trenches43BCCLEARND+1357NDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlND edge
  • Pass protectionND edge
  • Short-yardage blockingND edge
  • Stuff creationND edge
  • Pressure creationND edge
  • Short-yardage defenseND edge
Explosive50BCEVEN+347NDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBC edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsBC edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeND edge
  • Explosive preventionBC edge
Resilience46BCCLEARND+1460NDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseND edge
  • Defensive responseND edge
  • Momentum reversalND edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBC edge
  • Mistake avoidanceND edge
BCOFFENSEvsNDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS48%SEASONND RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS61%SEASONBC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONND FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BCRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS4EMPTY11+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3950%40 - 4950%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NDOFFENSEvsBCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEND RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS67%SEASONBC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)32TRIPS59%SEASONND SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONBC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NDRED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS24FIELD GOALS7EMPTY5+15 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ND KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3986%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BC 8, ND 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.