Gridiron Core

Visitors 391 total, 276 passing, 115 rushing. Home 456 total, 324 passing, 132 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB44TCUSLIGHTARIZ+750ARIZMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackARIZ edge
  • Dropback successARIZ edge
  • Completion over expectedARIZ edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush44TCUEVEN+341ARIZMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATCU edge
  • Rush successTCU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsTCU edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass43TCUSLIGHTARIZ+548ARIZMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAARIZ edge
  • Pass successARIZ edge
  • Explosive passesTCU edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedARIZ edge
Trenches50TCUEVEN+150ARIZMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive51TCUEVEN+446ARIZHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTCU edge
  • Explosive passesTCU edge
  • Explosive runsTCU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTCU edge
  • Explosive preventionTCU edge
Resilience56TCUEVEN+254ARIZHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseARIZ edge
  • Defensive responseTCU edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTCU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceARIZ edge
TCUOFFENSEvsARIZDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETCU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS59%SEASONARIZ RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS48%SEASONTCU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONARIZ FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TCURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS17FIELD GOALS6EMPTY6+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TCU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ARIZOFFENSEvsTCUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARIZ RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONTCU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS45%SEASONARIZ SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONTCU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)36%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARIZRED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARIZ KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4925%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TCU 8, ARIZ 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.