Gridiron Core

Visitors 414 total, 249 passing, 166 rushing. Home 446 total, 278 passing, 168 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB48FSUEVEN+451PITTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successPITT edge
  • Completion over expectedFSU edge
  • Turnover avoidancePITT edge
  • Sack avoidancePITT edge
Rush44FSUSLIGHTPITT+954PITTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAPITT edge
  • Rush successPITT edge
  • Stuff avoidancePITT edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageFSU edge
Pass50FSUEVEN+050PITTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successPITT edge
  • Explosive passesFSU edge
  • ProtectionPITT edge
  • Completion over expectedFSU edge
Trenches45FSUCLEARPITT+1155PITTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlPITT edge
  • Pass protectionPITT edge
  • Short-yardage blockingFSU edge
  • Stuff creationPITT edge
  • Pressure creationPITT edge
  • Short-yardage defenseFSU edge
Explosive55FSUSLIGHTFSU+847PITTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateFSU edge
  • Explosive passesFSU edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeFSU edge
  • Explosive preventionFSU edge
Resilience43FSUSLIGHTPITT+549PITTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responsePITT edge
  • Defensive responsePITT edge
  • Momentum reversalPITT edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
FSUOFFENSEvsPITTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEFSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONPITT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS59%SEASONFSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONPITT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)FSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | FSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)PITTOFFENSEvsFSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPITT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS56%SEASONFSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONPITT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)26%SEASONFSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PITTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS9EMPTY6+16 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PITT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (FSU 8, PITT 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.