Gridiron Core

Visitors 455 total, 226 passing, 229 rushing. Home 370 total, 193 passing, 177 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB59CINEVEN+357ISUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackISU edge
  • Dropback successCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceCIN edge
Rush59CINSLIGHTCIN+950ISUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPACIN edge
  • Rush successCIN edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCIN edge
  • Explosive runsISU edge
  • Short yardageCIN edge
Pass58CINEVEN+157ISUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAISU edge
  • Pass successCIN edge
  • Explosive passesISU edge
  • ProtectionCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
Trenches54CINSLIGHTCIN+746ISUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCIN edge
  • Pass protectionCIN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingCIN edge
  • Stuff creationCIN edge
  • Pressure creationCIN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseCIN edge
Explosive49CINSLIGHTISU+655ISUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateISU edge
  • Explosive passesISU edge
  • Explosive runsISU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeCIN edge
  • Explosive preventionISU edge
Resilience54CINEVEN+351ISUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCIN edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksISU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
CINOFFENSEvsISUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS79%SEASONISU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS74%SEASONCIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)3%SEASONISU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CINRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS0EMPTY7+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 3950%40 - 49100%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ISUOFFENSEvsCINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEISU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONCIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS56%SEASONISU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)35%SEASONCIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ISURED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS9EMPTY2+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ISU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CIN 8, ISU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.