Gridiron Core

Visitors 436 total, 272 passing, 165 rushing. Home 356 total, 211 passing, 145 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB51CSUCLEARFRES+1466FRESMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackFRES edge
  • Dropback successFRES edge
  • Completion over expectedFRES edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush55CSUSLIGHTFRES+761FRESMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAFRES edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceFRES edge
  • Explosive runsFRES edge
  • Short yardageCSU edge
Pass52CSUCLEARFRES+1668FRESMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAFRES edge
  • Pass successFRES edge
  • Explosive passesFRES edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedFRES edge
Trenches50CSUEVEN+150FRESMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlFRES edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingCSU edge
  • Stuff creationFRES edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseCSU edge
Explosive42CSUSTRONGFRES+2163FRESHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateFRES edge
  • Explosive passesFRES edge
  • Explosive runsFRES edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeFRES edge
  • Explosive preventionFRES edge
Resilience44CSUSLIGHTFRES+751FRESHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCSU edge
  • Defensive responseFRES edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksFRES edge
  • Mistake avoidanceCSU edge
CSUOFFENSEvsFRESDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS80%SEASONFRES RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS39%SEASONCSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)3%SEASONFRES FORCED FG(DEFENSE)39%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS24FIELD GOALS1EMPTY5+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39—40 - 49100%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)FRESOFFENSEvsCSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEFRES RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS56%SEASONCSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)41TRIPS71%SEASONFRES SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONCSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)FRESRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS7EMPTY7+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | FRES KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CSU 8, FRES 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.