Gridiron Core

Visitors 510 total, 318 passing, 192 rushing. Home 336 total, 231 passing, 105 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB62LSUSTRONGLSU+1943ARKMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackLSU edge
  • Dropback successLSU edge
  • Completion over expectedLSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceLSU edge
Rush60LSUCLEARLSU+1843ARKMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPALSU edge
  • Rush successLSU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceLSU edge
  • Explosive runsLSU edge
  • Short yardageLSU edge
Pass62LSUSTRONGLSU+2141ARKMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPALSU edge
  • Pass successLSU edge
  • Explosive passesLSU edge
  • ProtectionLSU edge
  • Completion over expectedLSU edge
Trenches60LSUSTRONGLSU+2040ARKMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlLSU edge
  • Pass protectionLSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingLSU edge
  • Stuff creationLSU edge
  • Pressure creationLSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseLSU edge
Explosive58LSUCLEARLSU+1740ARKHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateLSU edge
  • Explosive passesLSU edge
  • Explosive runsLSU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeLSU edge
  • Explosive preventionLSU edge
Resilience57LSUSLIGHTLSU+849ARKHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseLSU edge
  • Defensive responseLSU edge
  • Momentum reversalLSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksLSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceLSU edge
LSUOFFENSEvsARKDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)46TRIPS70%SEASONARK RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS81%SEASONLSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONARK FORCED FG(DEFENSE)6%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LSURED ZONETRIPS / G5.8TOUCHDOWNS32FIELD GOALS8EMPTY6+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2988%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ARKOFFENSEvsLSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARK RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS52%SEASONLSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS50%SEASONARK SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONLSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)39%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARKRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARK KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3983%40 - 49100%50+20%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (LSU 8, ARK 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.