Gridiron Core

Visitors 514 total, 291 passing, 223 rushing. Home 315 total, 167 passing, 148 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB54MEMCLEARMEM+1440USFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMEM edge
  • Dropback successMEM edge
  • Completion over expectedMEM edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMEM edge
  • Sack avoidanceMEM edge
Rush51MEMEVEN+355USFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUSF edge
  • Rush successMEM edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUSF edge
  • Explosive runsMEM edge
  • Short yardageUSF edge
Pass52MEMCLEARMEM+1240USFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMEM edge
  • Pass successMEM edge
  • Explosive passesMEM edge
  • ProtectionMEM edge
  • Completion over expectedMEM edge
Trenches49MEMEVEN+251USFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUSF edge
  • Pass protectionMEM edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUSF edge
  • Stuff creationUSF edge
  • Pressure creationMEM edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUSF edge
Explosive53MEMSLIGHTMEM+647USFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMEM edge
  • Explosive passesMEM edge
  • Explosive runsMEM edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMEM edge
  • Explosive preventionMEM edge
Resilience54MEMEVEN+451USFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMEM edge
  • Defensive responseMEM edge
  • Momentum reversalMEM edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMEM edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
MEMOFFENSEvsUSFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMEM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)43TRIPS60%SEASONUSF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS32%SEASONMEM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONUSF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)47%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MEMRED ZONETRIPS / G4.8TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS10EMPTY7+18 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MEM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)USFOFFENSEvsMEMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONMEM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONUSF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)42%SEASONMEM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)19%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USFRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS10EMPTY1+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3988%40 - 4967%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MEM 9, USF 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.