Gridiron Core

Visitors 292 total, 122 passing, 169 rushing. Home 345 total, 177 passing, 168 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB43CMUEVEN+241BUFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCMU edge
  • Dropback successBUF edge
  • Completion over expectedCMU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCMU edge
  • Sack avoidanceBUF edge
Rush52CMUSLIGHTBUF+558BUFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABUF edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Short yardageBUF edge
Pass41CMUEVEN+042BUFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACMU edge
  • Pass successBUF edge
  • Explosive passesBUF edge
  • ProtectionBUF edge
  • Completion over expectedCMU edge
Trenches48CMUEVEN+552BUFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionBUF edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBUF edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationBUF edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBUF edge
Explosive44CMUSLIGHTBUF+852BUFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBUF edge
  • Explosive passesBUF edge
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBUF edge
  • Explosive preventionBUF edge
Resilience41CMUCLEARBUF+1152BUFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseBUF edge
  • Defensive responseBUF edge
  • Momentum reversalBUF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBUF edge
  • Mistake avoidanceBUF edge
CMUOFFENSEvsBUFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECMU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)12TRIPS58%SEASONBUF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS61%SEASONCMU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)33%SEASONBUF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CMURED ZONETRIPS / G1.5TOUCHDOWNS7FIELD GOALS3EMPTY2+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CMU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)BUFOFFENSEvsCMUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBUF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)39TRIPS51%SEASONCMU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)33TRIPS67%SEASONBUF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)36%SEASONCMU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)15%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BUFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS12EMPTY7+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BUF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4950%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CMU 8, BUF 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.