Gridiron Core

Visitors 359 total, 208 passing, 151 rushing. Home 396 total, 256 passing, 140 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB50UCFEVEN+353COLOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCOLO edge
  • Dropback successCOLO edge
  • Completion over expectedUCF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUCF edge
  • Sack avoidanceCOLO edge
Rush46UCFEVEN+342COLOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUCF edge
  • Rush successUCF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCOLO edge
  • Explosive runsUCF edge
  • Short yardageCOLO edge
Pass49UCFSLIGHTCOLO+856COLOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACOLO edge
  • Pass successCOLO edge
  • Explosive passesCOLO edge
  • ProtectionCOLO edge
  • Completion over expectedUCF edge
Trenches45UCFCLEARCOLO+1055COLOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCOLO edge
  • Pass protectionCOLO edge
  • Short-yardage blockingCOLO edge
  • Stuff creationCOLO edge
  • Pressure creationCOLO edge
  • Short-yardage defenseCOLO edge
Explosive52UCFEVEN+250COLOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUCF edge
  • Explosive passesCOLO edge
  • Explosive runsUCF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionUCF edge
Resilience50UCFSLIGHTUCF+742COLOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUCF edge
  • Defensive responseUCF edge
  • Momentum reversalUCF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksCOLO edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUCF edge
UCFOFFENSEvsCOLODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUCF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS64%SEASONCOLO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)40TRIPS43%SEASONUCF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONCOLO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UCFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS7EMPTY5+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UCF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)COLOOFFENSEvsUCFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECOLO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS55%SEASONUCF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS55%SEASONCOLO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)27%SEASONUCF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)COLORED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS4EMPTY6+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | COLO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 3950%40 - 4967%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UCF 8, COLO 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.