Gridiron Core

Visitors 424 total, 284 passing, 140 rushing. Home 464 total, 318 passing, 146 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB52VTSLIGHTSMU+860SMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackSMU edge
  • Dropback successSMU edge
  • Completion over expectedSMU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceVT edge
  • Sack avoidanceSMU edge
Rush50VTEVEN+446SMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAVT edge
  • Rush successVT edge
  • Stuff avoidanceVT edge
  • Explosive runsSMU edge
  • Short yardageVT edge
Pass49VTSLIGHTSMU+958SMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPASMU edge
  • Pass successSMU edge
  • Explosive passesSMU edge
  • ProtectionSMU edge
  • Completion over expectedSMU edge
Trenches52VTEVEN+548SMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlVT edge
  • Pass protectionSMU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingVT edge
  • Stuff creationVT edge
  • Pressure creationSMU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseVT edge
Explosive45VTCLEARSMU+1156SMUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateSMU edge
  • Explosive passesSMU edge
  • Explosive runsSMU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeSMU edge
  • Explosive preventionSMU edge
Resilience52VTEVEN+153SMUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseVT edge
  • Defensive responseSMU edge
  • Momentum reversalVT edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksSMU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceVT edge
VTOFFENSEvsSMUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEVT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS59%SEASONSMU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS62%SEASONVT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)34%SEASONSMU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)VTRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS9EMPTY4+14 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | VT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 49100%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)SMUOFFENSEvsVTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESMU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)37TRIPS70%SEASONVT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS54%SEASONSMU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONVT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SMURED ZONETRIPS / G4.6TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SMU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2983%30 - 390%40 - 4960%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (VT 8, SMU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.